Login  |  Register          Free Newsletter Subscription
Zibb
Subscribe to Purchasing
Email
Print
Reprint
Learn RSS

Supply Insights

By Staff -- Purchasing, 6/1/2000

BUYING PLANS/PRICE EXPECTATIONS (% of buyers responding, diffusion index)

CATEGORY

UP

DOWN

SAME

INDEX*

BUYING: CURRENT MONTH

Steel

26

19

55

53.5

Nonferrous metals

29

25

46

52.0

Fabricated metals

23

13

64

55.0

Mechanical/electrical

28

15

57

56.5

Materials handling

6

32

62

37.0

Paper

17

11

72

53.0

Plastic & rubber

19

11

70

54.0

Packaging

24

8

68

58.0

Office

22

15

63

53.5

Glass/clay

12

12

76

50.0

Precious metals

29

29

42

50.0

Chemicals/resins

21

15

64

53.0

BUYING: NEXT 3 MONTHS

Steel

44

13

43

65.5

Nonferrous metals

32

18

50

57.0

Fabricated metals

34

16

50

59.0

Mechanical/electrical

31

15

54

58.0

Materials handling

19

29

52

45.0

Paper

23

9

68

57.0

Plastic & rubber

24

12

64

56.0

Packaging

31

10

59

60.5

Office

20

22

58

49.0

Glass/clay

48

4

48

72.0

Precious metals

33

33

34

50.0

Chemicals/resins

31

13

56

59.0

PRICING: NEXT 3 MONTHS

Steel

48

1

51

73.5

Nonferrous metals

43

3

54

70.0

Fabricated metals

16

6

78

55.0

Mechanical/electrical

15

2

83

56.5

Materials handling

19

0

81

59.5

Paper

43

2

55

70.5

Plastic & rubber

24

1

75

61.5

Packaging

62

0

38

81.0

Office

21

8

71

56.5

Glass/clay

29

4

67

62.5

Precious metals

57

0

43

78.5

Chemicals/resins

50

3

47

73.5


SOURCE: PURCHASING MAGAZINE *Diffusion index, % increasing; value above 50% indicates growth; below 50% indicates decline.

LEADTIMES/(% of buyers responding, weighted avg.)

& lt;1 wk.

1-5 wk.

6-10 wk.

11-20 wk.

21-30 wk.

30+ wk.

Avg wk.

Mo. ago

Yr. ago

STEEL

HR sheet & strip

40

47

7

6

0

0

3.4

4.2

3.4

CR sheet & strip

41

42

5

12

0

0

3.9

4.2

3.4

Stainless sheet & strip

26

47

16

11

0

0

4.9

4.0

2.6

Electrogalvanized

17

57

17

9

0

0

4.8

6.1

4.2

Hot-dipped galvanized

22

47

16

15

0

0

5.4

6.4

4.7

Other coated sheet

22

50

22

0

0

6

5.6

5.6

7.3

HR bars

63

24

8

3

2

0

2.7

3.3

2.1

Cold finished bars

59

27

12

2

0

0

2.5

2.4

2.9

Stainless bars

50

26

21

3

0

0

3.3

3.4

2.3

Carbon & alloy plate

32

44

21

3

0

0

3.8

3.8

3.0

Stainless plate

22

52

17

9

0

0

4.7

4.8

2.4

Light structurals

65

25

10

0

0

0

2.0

3.2

2.4

Heavy structurals

39

32

14

11

4

0

5.0

4.7

2.9

Oil country tubular

30

50

20

0

0

0

3.5

6.3

3.8

Line pipe & tube

55

39

6

0

0

0

2.1

2.2

1.7

Pressure pipe & tube

53

47

0

0

0

0

1.9

2.2

2.3

Mechanical pipe & tube

46

44

10

0

0

0

2.6

3.4

2.8

Structural pipe & tube

46

42

12

0

0

0

2.7

2.8

2.4

Nickel-based superalloys

0

25

63

0

12

0

9.1

6.9

9.3

Cobalt-based superalloys

0

0

100

0

0

0

8.0

6.9

7.6

Titanium-based superalloys

0

0

33

67

0

0

13.0

7.3

11.3

NONFERROUS METALS

Copper sheet & strip

35

48

9

4

4

0

4.3

3.4

2.1

Brass sheet & strip

29

62

5

4

0

0

3.4

2.9

2.7

Free-cutting brass rod

52

38

10

0

0

0

2.4

1.9

2.0

Copper water tube

33

44

17

6

0

0

3.9

2.0

3.5

Copper wirebar

38

50

12

0

0

0

2.9

2.0

1.5

Aluminum sheet & strip

32

56

12

0

0

0

3.1

3.8

2.9

Aluminum tube

30

59

7

4

0

0

3.4

3.9

3.0

Aluminum plate

33

60

7

0

0

0

2.8

2.8

2.1

Titanium sheet

0

60

40

0

0

0

5.3

6.1

14.9

Titanium bars & rods

0

25

50

25

0

0

8.8

7.1

8.5

Titanium plate

0

25

50

25

0

0

8.8

6.5

10.1

Zinc

57

43

0

0

0

0

1.8

3.1

0.5

Lead

67

33

0

0

0

0

1.5

2.9

0.5

Nickel

22

67

11

0

0

0

3.3

2.2

2.3

Tin

40

60

0

0

0

0

2.3

2.0

2.0

Cadmium

33

34

33

0

0

0

4.0

4.3

0.5

Tantalum

0

33

67

0

0

0

6.5

8.0

8.0

FABRICATED METALS

Stampings

2

66

30

0

2

0

5.2

5.0

4.3

Forgings

0

54

31

15

0

0

6.7

7.1

8.4

Steel wire

13

47

33

7

0

0

5.4

3.4

2.8

Jigs & fixtures

6

33

50

11

0

0

6.9

6.1

6.5

Gray iron castings

3

35

49

10

3

0

7.6

6.7

6.5

Ductile iron castings

4

24

48

20

4

0

8.8

7.2

6.7

Investment castings

0

17

45

38

0

0

10.1

9.3

9.0

Die castings (all kinds)

4

27

54

15

0

0

7.7

7.1

7.2

Powder metal parts

7

29

43

21

0

0

7.8

5.3

6.5

Copper wire & cable

47

43

10

0

0

0

2.5

2.1

3.0

Aluminum wire & cable

55

27

18

0

0

0

2.7

2.2

3.1

Magnet wire

45

33

22

0

0

0

3.2

2.8

3.1

Busbar

64

36

0

0

0

0

1.6

2.1

2.9

Coaxial cable

73

27

0

0

0

0

1.3

1.8

1.2

MECHANICAL/ELECTRICAL

Electric motors: FHP

40

34

23

3

0

0

3.7

3.3

3.3

Electric motors: 1-30 HP

34

41

16

9

0

0

4.3

4.2

2.8

Electric motors: 30+ HP

22

39

26

9

0

4

6.4

7.4

3.6

Motor controls

36

46

11

7

0

0

3.8

4.1

3.9

Pumps

20

53

17

10

0

0

4.9

4.9

3.5

Gears

32

41

9

18

0

0

5.1

5.4

2.6

Pressure gauges

47

43

10

0

0

0

2.6

2.4

2.0

Lighting fixtures

68

32

0

0

0

0

1.5

1.8

1.6

Temperature controls

42

45

13

0

0

0

2.8

2.3

2.3

Test instruments

48

43

9

0

0

0

2.5

3.1

2.1

Circuit breakers

59

35

0

6

0

0

2.4

2.9

2.2

Connectors

58

31

8

3

0

0

2.4

2.6

3.7

Switches

47

34

16

3

0

0

3.1

2.6

2.9

Nonfriction bearings

53

29

12

6

0

0

3.1

4.8

3.7

Valves

44

43

10

3

0

0

3.1

3.2

2.4

Special fasteners

7

61

25

4

3

0

5.6

5.3

5.5

Machine tools

47

37

5

11

0

0

3.6

5.2

4.4

Speed reducers

29

47

14

10

0

0

4.4

5.1

4.5

Cutting tool inserts

72

23

5

0

0

0

1.5

1.6

1.2

Grinding wheels

71

21

4

4

0

0

1.9

1.7

1.6

Lubricants

72

25

3

0

0

0

1.5

1.5

0.9

Adhesives

69

28

3

0

0

0

1.6

2.0

1.1

MATERIALS HANDLING

Cranes & hoists

8

59

33

0

0

0

4.8

6.9

7.4

Lift trucks

20

27

20

26

7

0

8.5

12.7

13.7

Lift truck batteries

56

38

0

6

0

0

2.6

2.6

4.6

Conveyors

17

58

25

0

0

0

4.1

8.9

6.3

Hydraulic cylinders

18

65

17

0

0

0

3.8

3.7

6.8

Industrial trucks

33

17

17

33

0

0

7.3

8.9

8.0

Robots

0

0

50

0

50

0

16.8

30.3

11.8

PAPER

Pulp

62

38

0

0

0

0

1.6

1.6

1.3

Office papers

81

19

0

0

0

0

1.1

1.0

0.8

Printing papers

57

36

4

3

0

0

2.4

1.7

1.6

Coated papers

44

44

6

6

0

0

3.2

3.0

3.2

Newsprint

55

36

0

9

0

0

3.0

2.8

2.5

PLASTIC & RUBBER

Injection molded plastics

2

72

20

6

0

0

5.1

4.5

4.2

Blow molded plastics

4

54

25

17

0

0

6.5

6.4

5.0

Extruded plastics

3

78

13

6

0

0

4.7

4.8

3.1

Compression mold. plastics

0

55

36

9

0

0

6.2

5.8

3.3

Seals & rings

47

40

10

3

0

0

3.0

3.5

2.8

Flat belting

70

24

6

0

0

0

1.6

1.9

2.1

V-belts

79

21

0

0

0

0

1.1

1.1

1.6

Rubber hose

75

21

4

0

0

0

1.4

2.0

1.4

Replacement tires

81

19

0

0

0

0

1.1

2.6

2.3

PACKAGING

Linerboard

24

76

0

0

0

0

2.8

2.5

2.1

Corrugating medium

32

68

0

0

0

0

2.5

2.4

1.9

Containerboard

6

94

0

0

0

0

3.3

2.7

2.6

Corrugated containers

24

73

3

0

0

0

2.9

2.6

2.2

Folding cartons

20

74

6

0

0

0

3.2

2.8

2.3

Multiwall bags

38

54

8

0

0

0

2.7

1.5

3.1

Aluminum cans

67

17

0

16

0

0

3.5

1.1

2.0

Steel cans

67

17

16

0

0

0

2.3

1.8

2.6

Glass containers

36

37

0

18

9

0

6.6

3.1

3.1

Plastic bottles

41

41

6

12

0

0

3.9

2.9

2.3

Plastic film

41

54

5

0

0

0

2.5

2.4

2.8

Laminates

45

36

10

9

0

0

3.6

1.8

2.8

OFFICE

Copiers

40

56

4

0

0

0

2.5

3.1

4.3

Facsimiles

44

56

0

0

0

0

2.2

2.9

3.2

Personal computers

36

60

4

0

0

0

2.6

2.5

3.3

Printers

59

41

0

0

0

0

1.7

1.8

2.1

Business forms

10

87

3

0

0

0

3.4

3.6

3.1

Office furniture

32

49

14