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Mavens see recovery

Staff -- Purchasing, 6/6/2002

North American producers have been complaining about slumping aluminum prices due to excess supply and tepid demand. Through April, aluminum ingot was selling on the London Metal Exchange at 62¢/lb. Now comes word that new purchases of aluminum mill products from U.S. and Canadian suppliers actually slipped slightly in April from March levels.

Purchases through April were 7% stronger than January-April of 2001, according to the Aluminum Association, but still 11% weaker than the same four months of 2000. PURCHASING's latest survey of buyers finds barely 50% planning to boost purchasing in coming months.

Since monthly purchasing is volatile and erratic, analysis of buying trends often is subject to wide debate. Example: On a monthly basis, April buys were 10% weaker than March. However, Lloyd T. O'Carroll at BB&T Capital Markets in Richmond, Va., says: "New orders in April were at their highest level since June 2000," and points out that "of the major product types, sheet and plate orders were especially strong, increasing 15% from year-ago April."

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