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Business slump to cut purchases

Staff -- Purchasing, 7/18/2002

Activity in metals-consuming companies remains in a growth mode, but the rate of expansion has slipped for two consecutive months, according to Business Survey data collected in July by PURCHASING Magazine. The recession in the manufacturing industry officially has ended, though as yet the pace of the recovery in metalworking, especially, remains modest. And that's why anticipated purchasing activity will decline through summer, according to metals buyers.

Transaction prices for steel rose steeply again in June. But, the Commerce Department on late June released revised figures for factory orders, which now suggest that business capital spending remains weak. Growth in the value of new factory orders for durable goods has been less than initially reported. Atop this more pessimistic picture of factory orders comes revised data showing that full recovery in capital spending remains in the distance. And that's probably why metal-using firms appear to have renewed reducing in-plant inventories.

 

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The recent surge in molybdenum prices to $6.75/lb (June average) is the highest monthly price since May 1995 ($7.14/lb). It has resulted from a combination of supply reductions and third quarter purchasing pickups from stainless steel producers. Analysts are split as to whether the high prices will persist. Reason: About 70% of global molybdenum is produced as a byproduct of copper mining; thus, the significant amount of global copper curtailments since last October has also tightened moly supply by 6% this year. However, domestic moly demand is headed for a 14% dropoff.

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