Login  |  Register          Free Newsletter Subscription
Zibb
Subscribe to Purchasing
Email
Print
Reprint
Learn RSS

Macquarie analysts lift 2008 copper, aluminum price forecasts

By Tom Stundza -- Purchasing, 9/13/2007

Analysts Jim Lennon and Adam Rowley at Macquarie Bank's offices in London have raised the investment bank's 2008 price forecasts for aluminum, copper, lead and zinc.

Copper prices will average $3.50/lb, compared with $3.315 forecast for this year, because "the raw material end of the copper market remains extremely tight," Macquarie e-mailed to the Bloomberg News Service in mid-August, "The next two years are likely to be a tough time for smelters, which will struggle to find sufficient feed to fill their operations."

Copper for immediate delivery on the London Metal Exchange has risen 20% this year as disruptions at mines and smelters reduced supply. Producers including Rio Tinto Group, the world's third-largest mining company, have reported lower copper output this year because of ore containing less metal and adverse weather. Production of copper will outpace consumption by 82,000 tons in 2008, following a surplus of 113,000 tons this year, the analysts forecast.

Meanwhile, aluminum will average $1.25/lb this year and $1.30 in 2008, say the Macquarie analysts who admit being bullish on this metal's price because exports from China, the largest producer, have declined after the government removed incentives.

Lead prices will average $1/lb next year, compared with the 65¢ previously forecast. Zinc will rise to an average of $1.40, from an earlier estimate of $1.30. The bank analysts says they have maintained their nickel price forecast of $13.25/lb for next year but have cut this year's estimate to $17.02, down 6.2% from their earlier forecast.

Email
Print
Reprint
Learn RSS

Talkback

We would love your feedback!

Post a comment

» VIEW ALL TALKBACK THREADS

Related Content

Related Content

 

By This Author

Sponsored Links

 
Advertisement
Sponsored Links

More Content

  • Blogs
  • Purchlive

Blogs

  • Robert J. (Bob) Garino
    Commodities Update

    November 10, 2008
    Analysts again are revising 2009 nonferrous price forecasts; downward even further
    If you can believe it, analysts are again revisiting their 2009 commodity forecasts for base metals. Here are but two examples showing how uncerta......
    More
  • View All BlogsRSS
Advertisements





NEWSLETTERS

Click on a title below to learn more.

Resource Center E-Alert (Monthly)
Price + Supply Alert (Weekly)
Monday Midday Business Report (Weekly)
Electronics Distribution and Global Sourcing (Monthly)
IdeaFile (Twice Monthly)
Supplier Web Locator (4x/year)
About Us   |   Advertising Info   |   Site Map   |   Contact Us   |   FREE Subscription   |   RSS
© 2008 Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Use of this Web site is subject to its Terms of Use | Privacy Policy
Please visit these other Reed Business sites